Silver’s update followed a Sunday New York Times/Siena College poll, which showed Trump ahead of Harris nationally by 1 point in a direct comparison and 2 points when including third-party candidates, undermining any post-Democratic National Convention bump for Harris.
“This is one of our highest-rated pollsters, so it has a fair amount of influence on the numbers, reducing Harris’ lead in our national polling average to 2.5 points, which would put her in dangerous territory in the Electoral College,” Silver wrote on his Silver Bulletin blog before his Monday update.
“Our model is more bearish on Harris still because of its convention bounce adjustment and its assessment of economic ‘fundamentals.'”
Silver’s modeling to project the Electoral College winner involves more than a simple comparison of numbers, incorporating data points beyond polling.
CONTINUE READING ON THE NEXT PAGE Advertisement:
Apple Cinnamon Tea: Lose Weight, Shed Belly Fat, and Enjoy a Deliciously Refreshing Drink
Gourmet Chicken Elysée Delight
Maple Sugar Cream Pie
Jalapeño Cheddar Focaccia
So waschen Sie vergilbte Kissen: 3 Tipps, um sie wie neu weiß zu machen
How I Get My Laundry Sparkling White Without Bleach: My Neighbor’s Secret is Aspirin!
Neurologist Shows The Simplest Method To Improve Memory After 60: Do It Today, It’s The Biggest Help For The Brain!
Purslane: The Superfood with Many Health Benefits
*Philly Cheesesteak Sliders*